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Midterm Evaluation Thread: Antawn Jamison

As all college students probably know, "midterm" isn't necessarily synonymous with the exact "middle of the season/semester."  With that in mind, since we've reached a convenient stopping point in the NBA schedule, let's discuss the performances of the key players on the teams.  First up: Antawn Jamison.

First instinct: Antawn has been a rock all season, and well-deserving of his all-star selection.  He's been a tremendous leader, both by example and through words.  Whereas in the past he spent a lot of time hanging around the perimeter and passively playing defense, this year, he's getting to the glass more, scoring inside, and showing a renewed commitment to the defensive end.  Sure, he'll never be confused with a bruising power forward, but in a contract year, he's reverted back to being more of an inside guy.

A deeper look: All that's written above is true, though it's come at a cost to his shooting efficiency.  Granted, he's become much less efficient since Caron Butler got hurt, so that might explain things.  Still, it's clear Jamison has become a more rugged player.

Here are some notable numbers for Jamison this year.  All data is from Basketball Reference, 82 Games, and Knickerblogger.


Jamison is shooting less efficiently from the field, but is still improving because he's contributing more in other areas.  In particular, his rebounding is much improved.  His rebound rate is the highest of his career, which surprised me only because he's always had this reputation as a "20/10" guy.  The lowering shooting percentages don't worry me too much, because without Butler, he's the only guy who can create his own shot, which puts a really unfair burden on his shoulders.  I haven't broken the numbers down further, but my guess is that his efficiency has gone way downhill in these last eight games, just as his usage has increased.  With everyone totally healthy, I see his percentages rising as his usage slides.  

So offensively, he's a different player, but I think that's partly by necessity.  But what about his defense?  Here, I'm absolutely stunned by his transformation.  No, Jamison has not become an elite defender, or even an average one, but he's hardly a liability anymore.  

Consider this: Last year, the Wizards had a defensive efficiency of 113.1 when Jamison was on the floor last year.  That would have made the Wizards the third-worst defensive team in the league last year if he played all 48 minutes (they were anyway, but that's besides the point).  This year, however, the Wizards are surrendering only 107.7 points per 100 possessions with Jamison out there, which would place them 14th in the league if Jamison played every minute.  That's an improvement of 5.5 points/100 possessions and 14 places in the rankings.

But what about his individual defense?  Here, it's harder to get a real picture, but last year, opposing power forwards had a PER of 18 against Jamison last year, whereas they only have a PER of 16.5 this year.  Counterpart data like this is misleading because of the number of switches that occur on every defensive possession, but it still shows in some way that Jamison's defense is much-improved.

Most importantly, Jamison himself recognizes that his defense was subpar last year, based on this quote.

"Certain individuals on this team, including myself, were the reasons why the defense has been poor" ... I think we got fed up with that and wanted to do everything possible to make it work. We really listened and even when it didn't feel like it was the right thing to do, we did it. ... When Gil went out, we knew we couldn't be the same kind of team."

The last part of the quote makes me worried that things will change once Arenas gets back, but it's striking to see a 11-year veteran in a contract year admitting to a serious flaw in his game.  That, more than anything, tells the story of Jamison's season this year.  Anyone who tells me he isn't an all-star isn't paying attention.

Jake's thoughts: Maybe it's just the pessimist in me, but every time I see his crazy rebounding stats I can't help but see the dollar signs. I'm not trying to suggest that he's just playing for a contract this season, I think Jamison has proven that he's not some kind of guy that only shows up for contract years, but I think when you couple that with his age and I don't see him having another year quite this good after this one.

With that pessimism aside, Jamison is still a tremendous player and he deserves whatever money he gets this off-season (barring a bizarre Rashard Lewis-like deal). Hopefully, Grunfeld has seenw what we've all seen this season and does what it takes to keep him this summer.

Your thoughts: Post away in the comment section.

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Nice Write Up
Yeah, Jamison's in a contract year, but he just doesn't seem like the kind of person that's going to completely regress if he gets paid. (See: Larry Hughes) He's a legit All-Star and he's played like one. He's shored up his D and gone back inside - exactly what the Wizards needed him to do. It'll take money to keep him, but it'll be worth it.
The Washington Wizards: providing career scoring nights for unknown opposing bench players since 2004.

by mamemimo on Feb 15, 2008 12:40 PM EST   0 recs

Good Stuff
  1. Kudos to AJ for adapting.
  2. AJ needs to be a leader and convince Gil to make the same commitment to defense that he has.
  3. I also have full confidence that AJ is not doing all this just because he's in a contract year.

Interesing fact from AJ's website:

"People might not know this, but Antawn is a major junk food addict! He was and is always still eating junk food. He used to get candy, cookies and honey buns and hide them under in his room under his bed. (Eating junk food) That was his only hobby other than playing basketball."

Wasn't he getting on Andray Blatche earlier this year about tightening up those diet habits?

 

www.truthaboutit.net

by Truth About It on Feb 15, 2008 1:16 PM EST   0 recs

I believe that was last year
Though I might be wrong.
You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Pradamaster on Feb 15, 2008 1:53 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Agreed
Jamison's reliability and leadership cannot be overrated.  His mentor relationship with Blatche and Pech has undoubtedly contributed to their development.  I'm not sure how much the Wiz should be willing to pay to resign him, but he's certainly vital to the team as it is now.

by Aldo on Feb 15, 2008 2:13 PM EST   0 recs

if they do resign him
they should frontload his contract.

he's mostly a skill player with great hands, so i think he can age gracefully and still contribute, but still, they have to be smart with the contract they offer him.

by DarrellWalkerFan on Feb 15, 2008 4:32 PM EST   0 recs

i agree
with most of the comments above.  its apparent that while underrated on the national scene, the local fans see what 'tawn provides the team in terms of leadership, consistency, and accountability

by facekdr on Feb 15, 2008 6:19 PM EST   0 recs

Many kudos to AJ
I really admire how he has transformed his game this season and I definitely don't attribute it to being in a contract year. He just seems to be such a character guy and lead by example type of player that I don't think the contract is what is driving him. But then again he is my favorite wizards player so I have blinders on. I also do think he can play at a high level for the next couple of years. Maybe not like in this banner year but not dropping off too much. I base some of that on his offseason regimen of pilates and yoga that he mentions here. http://www.nba.com/games/20080104/WASMIL/recap.html
My karate school has some older students in it who rave about how yoga/pilates helps them to prevent injury and recover quickly from workouts. They are aging very gracefully, still performing at a high level and are much older than Antawn. Of course recreational martial arts are very different from pro basketball so the comparisons may not hold but I think as long as he takes care of himself he can still perform well.

by ooba on Feb 15, 2008 7:40 PM EST   0 recs

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